NATO Estimates Russia Has Already Lost As Many as 15,000 Troops

NATO estimates that between 7,000 and 15,000 Russian troops have been killed in the first four weeks of fighting in Ukraine, The Washington Post reports.

A senior NATO military official told the outlet the estimate was based on Ukrainian data, Russian data, and open source information.

NATO estimates that a total of 30,000 to 40,000 Russian troops have been killed, wounded, or captured.

NATO’s estimate is much higher than those reviewed by the US, a senior defense official told the Post, declining to disclose the U.S. estimate because the Pentagon has low confidence in it.

Death data has been difficult to assess in the fog of war. On March 8, Defense Intelligence Chief Scott Berrier told lawmakers that the US estimated between 2,000 and 4,000 Russian fatalities.

The UK Defense Ministry said Thursday that Russia “almost certainly suffered thousands of casualties.”

By comparison, Russia lost about 15,000 troops over 10 years of war in Afghanistan.

“Russia is likely now looking to mobilize its reservist and conscript manpower, as well as private military companies and foreign mercenaries, to replace these considerable losses,” the ministry said.

Ukraine losses:

It has similarly been difficult to gauge the losses on the Ukrainian side.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said earlier this month that 1,300 Ukrainian troops had been killed.

The United Nations has recorded at least 977 civilian deaths and 1,594 injuries since the war began, though it admits that the count is incomplete and likely falls well short of the actual number.

About 10 million others have been displaced, including more than 3.5 million refugees who have fled to other countries.

Zelensky urges world action:

Zelensky on Thursday called for global demonstrations on the one-month anniversary of the war to show support for Ukraine.

“Come to your squares, your streets. Make yourselves visible and heard,” Zelensky said. “Say that people matter. Freedom matters. Peace matters. Ukraine matters.”


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