Former Vice President Joe Biden is now expected to win the Democratic nomination outright after concerns that no one would get enough delegates to clinch before the Democratic National Convention.
Biden now has a 94% chance to win a majority of pledged delegates, according to FiveThirtyEight’s forecast. The forecast previously predicted that the highest probability was that no candidate would hit a majority. The new forecast now gives Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders just a 1% chance to win a majority of pledged delegates.
If Biden wins a majority of pledged delegates, Democrats can avoid a contested convention fight in which superdelegates would be able to vote on a potential second ballot.
Biden surges in national poll:
Biden has also extended his lead in national polls now that everyone except Tulsi Gabbard has dropped out of the race. His campaign was buoyed by endorsements from former candidate Amy Klobuchar, Pete Buttigieg, and Beto O’Rourke. On Monday, Kamala Harris and Cory Booker also threw their support behind Biden.
Biden leads Sanders by 16 points in the latest Morning Consult poll and by 16 points in the latest CNN poll.
Michigan could spell end of Sanders:
Sanders pulled off a big upset in Michigan in 2016 against Hillary Clinton but the current polls don’t bode well for his chances this time.
Biden leads Sanders by 21 points in Michigan according to the latest Mitchell Research poll.
Biden leads Sanders by 24 points in Michigan according to the latest Detroit Free Press poll.
Biden leads Sanders by a whopping 41 points in the latest Target-Insyght poll.
