The Associated Press and several other major news outlets have projected Joe Biden to win the 2020 presidential election but the result will not be official until each state certifies its totals.
President Donald Trump has launched numerous lawsuits, many of which have already been quickly rejected in states like Michigan, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Nevada, but the math simply seems insurmountable. Biden will be the next president, pending the certification of each state’s results and at least one recount. Here is when you can expect the presidential results to be final in each key battleground state, per Politico:
Georgia: After November 20
Biden leads Trump by about 14,000 votes, or 0.3%, in Georgia. Counties must certify their election results by November 20 but the state has already announced a hand recount that will follow the certification. It is unclear how long that would take but the state’s voting system manager estimated it could be completed within a week.
Michigan: November 23
Biden leads Trump by over 140,000 votes in Michigan, well outside of recount territory. Counties must certify the results by November 17 and the state must begin its certification by November 23.
Pennsylvania: November 23
Though Pennsylvania appeared very close for days, Biden now leads Trump by nearly 50,000 votes, or 0.7%, meaning it is unlikely to fall back within 0.5% to trigger an automatic recount, though candidates can ask courts for recounts in certain counties. Counties must submit results to the state by November 23.
North Carolina: November 24
Trump is projected to win North Carolina and led on Wednesday by about 73,000 votes, more than 1% of the vote and outside of the state’s 0.5% margin threshold for a recount. Counties must canvass results by November 13 and the state must canvass by November 24.
Arizona: November 30
Biden leads Trump by about 13,000 votes, or roughly 0.3%, in Arizona. The race would go to an automatic recount if the margin is within 0.1% but that is unlikely given Biden’s lead. Local election offices must certify results by November 23 and the state must certify its results by November 30.
Wisconsin: December 1
Biden leads Trump by about 20,000 votes, or 0.7%. Candidates can request a recount if the margin is within 1%, though the Trump campaign will have to pay for one because the margin is greater than 0.25%. Counties must certify the results by November 17 and the state election board must certify the results by December 1.