For those of you that have been happily devouring your daily dose of conspiracy over the past two days, here's day three. Sadly this is all for now, though Gradieus does leave things open for a continuation. We'll be sure to update you if things heat up again.
Trump's painted himself into a corner. He won the House, he won the Senate, he won the Presidency. It's all his for the taking, but first, a grand spectacle is required, and what's Trump without an audience... or a spectacle?
Enter Scene 1: The Trump Wall.
The wall must be built. The wall will be built. Trump's entire legacy depends on it. Just like his entire legacy depended on his victory on election night, he has once again thrown himself into the proverbial frying pan. His re-election (yes, it's 2020 already) depends entirely on that wall. While jobs are his number one priority, the wall is tangible, it's identifiable, it's something people will be able to look up to and say "This is change. It may not be the change I'm looking for, but it's real." Its successful completion will guarantee another four years of Trump. Fail, and the pundits will laugh at him once again and proclaim they were right all along.
The question you have to ask yourself isn't will he build the wall, what it really comes down to is does he even WANT to build the wall?
First, let's recall that now famous quote:
“When Mexico sends its people, they’re not sending their best. They’re not sending you. They’re not sending you. They’re sending people that have lots of problems, and they’re bringing those problems with us. They’re bringing drugs. They’re bringing crime. They’re rapists. And some, I assume, are good people.”
Since no official transcript exists, there's been a lot of debate on whether he said 'They're rapists' or 'Their rapists' (referring to the Mexican government sending rapists), but let's ignore that for now. Read this part again:
"They’re bringing drugs. They’re bringing crime. They’re rapists."
It always fascinated me how people latched onto that last part hook line and sinker. No one disputes the drugs. It's the rape part, that's the part he gets called out on for being racist.
When Trump says he's the law and order candidate I believe him for the simple reason that a safer America is a more profitable America. And that's what this all comes down to, money. American taxpayers lose $65-113 billion per year on illegal immigrants. The majority of this is paying for child education, but healthcare and detainment play a role as well.
But if you really really want to get a sense of where Trump's heading, you have to follow the money. While the human cost of $65-113 billion per year is a lot, it pales in comparison to the $200+ billion illegal drugs put on the American health care system, crime, and loss of productivity. I believe this is what Trump's actually targeting most of all, and it never gets talked about.
The war on drugs. For those who are a bit older, you know the negative connotation those four words have in our lexicon. The war on drugs lasted from 1971 to 2011 and is remembered not only for being a money pit into the abyss, but for being completely inefficient. The drugs keep coming in no matter how aggressive the US cracks down.
This has opened the dialog to legalize all drugs. Tax it, people say, and America will save ~$40 billion of that $200+ billion per year. But that's still -$225 to -$273 billion per year. That's not the Trump way. You see for Trump, addiction is personal.
Trump's eldest brother was Freddy Trump Jr. Their father was a hard-ass, plain and simple. While Donald excelled in that environment, Freddy did not. The better Donald did in the family business the more scorn Freddy got from his father. Freddy left the family business to his younger, more successful brother, and found joy in flying planes until alcoholism consumed his life. He died at 43.
It was then that Donald gave up alcohol, drugs, and cigarettes/tobacco for life. Remember during the debates when people thought Trump was sniffing cocaine? Yeah, no. Freddy's death affected him hard and still affects him today. How can someone from such a rich family, a proud family, lose their way to addiction? If the best of America can fall, what about the rest of us? When asked if his success led to Freddy's path to alcoholism and ultimately his death, Donald is on record simply saying "I hope not, I hope not."
I believe illegal drugs are what Trump's targeting. But he can't solely focus on that. No presidential candidate will ever be elected by saying "we have to go to war on drugs... again." Not going to happen. So Trump went visceral, classic shock and awe tactics. What's the most effective word to grab people's attention? Murder? Nope. Torture? Nope. Rape. Yep, that's the one.
When you hear Trump describe the wall, it doesn't describe illegal immigrants carrying a bag containing their worldly belongings as they try to cross the border. That's why pundits always call for a fence. A fence will stop people from coming in they say. Trump's wall is seen as excessive in this cause. 40-50 feet tall, 10 feet deep. Infrared sensors underground to detect tunnels, manned machine guns every mile, an increase to 75,000 armed patrol guards, that's one armed guard per 20 meters. This isn't the kind of description used to stop undocumented workers.
So where am I going with all this you ask? As the anti-Trump protests begin, and fear is stoked about who's getting kicked out and who's staying, I say relax. I know, I know, people let Hitler do what he wanted and look what happened. But this is different. Trump really is about branding and money. Safety and profit. Yes, he will deport those that committed a crime AFTER entering the USA, his "bad hombres", but he won't be doing a mass deportation of every man, woman, and child. You can see it in his body language, in his mannerisms, in his allusiveness to the question. He doesn't want that because it's financially unnecessary. Stopping the influx of illegal immigrants will already stop salaries from dropping while keeping undocumented workers to do the jobs no one wants. All the while in a perfect world also stopping the import of illegal drugs will see a net boost of $200+ billion per year, and Americans are happy. But to achieve this he needs a strong cover because no one wants to deal with the war on drugs again.
A good wall doesn't make people safe, good people make people safe. Curbing drug abuse benefits all Americans. Take out illegal drugs from the equation and the cost of illegal immigration is greatly reduced. The use of words like rape and mass deportations are standard shock and awe tactics to cover true, more pragmatic intentions. Will a wall stop drugs? Eh, drug lords are some of the smartest people in the world, so we'll see. My guess is no. But hey, Mexico's going to pay for it anyway, so Trump might as well try, right?